First Look: Candidates Of Note
This is our first article about the CSM8 fight on TheMittani.com and not all of the hats are in the ring; we'll take a look at some of the more significant candidates, or who I think at first blush has a hope in hell of winning.
The first rule of being a bloc candidate is denying that you have a bloc behind you in hopes of getting additional votes. However, elections are - as mentioned above- acts of tribal warfare; someone like Malcanis might not consider himself in his heart of hearts to be a bloc candidate, but you bet your ass The Initiative is going to vote for him. Ripard Teg sees himself as a blogger and man of the people, but his real core of votes will come from Rote Kapelle.
Mynnna: The official Goonswarm Federation candidate; a financial genius. Doesn't need to do anything to get elected, yet is probably one of the best candidates. Will be assaulted nonstop for being GSF-affiliated.
Kesper North: The Gentleman's Agreement candidate; known for a focus on solo PvP. While GENTS might not have been able to get a rep on the CSM under previous voting systems, STV means that Kesper is likely to be the #2 or #3 candidate listed under every GSF vote for Mynnna.
Malcanis: Not officially a bloc candidate, but an infamously eloquent goodposter on the official forums and a contributor on this site (just like Mynnna and Kesper). He's affiliated with The Initiative, so if he does his homework he should suck up a bunch of Eastern HBC votes. Functionally a bloc candidate as a result; Malcanis is also extraordinarily well-liked across nullsec, so expect to see him in the top-five voter lists even outside the HBC.
Artctura: The Fatal Ascension candidate, with a focus on third party developer tools. Should be in good shape if FA rallies behind him and he gets on the CFC voter guide, which he will.
Progodlegend: The Nulli Secunda candidate. S2N has never run a candidate before, unless you count Mintrolio for CSM7, which ended up missing the alt slot; it remains to be seen if they can manifest a voting machine, but it's theirs to lose: by all rights, PGL should end up somewhere on the CSM.
Sort Dragon: The first Pandemic Legion candidate. Sort Dragon is affable and well-liked across nullsec, if PL rallies behind him he should be in good shape. PL has proven their ability to bloc-vote in past CSMs, so he should be an easy top-seven.
Sala Cameron: The second Pandemic Legion candidate; has an ex-NC history which might win him some additional votes. Most famous for being a hyperaggressive solo Titan pilot dropping on anything that moves.
Non-Bloc Candidates Who Might Win
James 315: James hasn't formally announced a candidacy by posting a thread in Jita Park, but if he does it is likely that he will be a shoo-in, being wildly popular across nullsec and demonized in hisec. You cannot vote 'against' someone in a CSM election, so the voices of James' detractors are essentially meaningless. I wouldn't be surprised to see many nullsec voting guides including James on their bloc roster.
Trebor: Trebor is the only member of CSM7 to run for reelection, and it's hard to gauge how effective his campaign will be this year. As the only CSM7 returnee, he will bear the burden of justifying CSM7's accomplishments or lack thereof. However, he has built up a solid base of repeat voters over the years; I wouldn't be surprised to see him win again, but I also wouldn't be surprised to see him in the low alt slots.
Ripard Teg: Ripard writes Jester's Trek, which is syndicated on EN24; this makes him a fairly well-known blogger. Does that actually translate into votes? His alliance, Rote Kapelle, has less than 300 characters in it, which means that functionally all of Ripard's votes will have to come from his readers, and readers are not necessarily fans.
There's no declared HBC/TEST candidate yet. That's odd, but presumably they'll run someone soon. Whoever they rally behind should get on easily enough.
We don't yet know who the Russian-bloc candidate will be. UAxDeath isn't running again after the loss of his empire; the fall of Against All Authorities likewise removes Greene Lee.
There's no unified wormhole vote this time, because Two Step isn't running; the w-space vote is likely to be fractured and thus irrelevant in the grand scheme of things.
More To Come
As the election season matures, we're going to be gearing up our coverage with more detailed analysis of who has a shot, who doesn't, and who the most facepalm-inducing candidates are (Xenuria and Fon Revenhort are neck-a-neck at the moment). We have a somewhat unusual situation on our staff where several of our writers are CSM candidates that are very likely to be elected, so we have to tread with care. Regardless, the whole affair should amuse.